Hawkish Hold or Second Hike? Gold, EUR/USD, US500 and WTI
The Fed decides tonight with a hold priced near 93%, the ECB and Bank of Japan follow within 36 hours, and this preview sets the levels for gold, EUR/USD, US500 and WTI.
The Fed decides tonight with a hold priced near 93%, the ECB and Bank of Japan follow within 36 hours, and this preview sets the levels for gold, EUR/USD, US500 and WTI.
Five central banks report in three days, with the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank landing within hours of each other on Thursday.
US500 enters the first full week of the Q3 reporting season at 7,706 after its worst week since June and a chip-led Monday rebound, with 84% of early reporters beating and profit growth near 30%. This outlook sets out the Netflix, Meta and Tesla numbers the market is pricing, the flash PMIs and the Fed blackout, how to read the weekly and one-hour direction of US500, EUR/USD, gold and WTI, and the levels to watch.
September US CPI lands on Wednesday 14 October at 8:30pm GMT+8 with the 10-year yield near a 24-year high, EUR/USD at a 17-month low, gold rebounding from 4,066 and Brent above $100. This preview sets out the consensus, the hot, in-line and soft scenarios for the October Fed meeting, how to read the direction each market is already in, and the levels to watch on EUR/USD, gold, US500 and WTI before CPI, PPI, retail sales and the first bank earnings.
FOMC meeting minutes are the Federal Reserve's written record of its latest policy meeting, published three weeks after each rate decision. This guide explains what the minutes contain, when they are released in GMT+8, and how the US dollar, gold and major currency pairs may react.
The Federal Reserve publishes its meeting minutes on Thursday and Canada reports jobs data on Friday, in a week that is otherwise quiet for forex, gold and oil.
The RBA opens the week with its rate decision, Australian and US inflation data follow midweek, and US Non Farm Payrolls closes it out, all in play for forex, gold and oil.
High impact economic events for Sep 14 to 18, 2026 and how they may move forex, gold and oil.