Hawkish Hold or Second Hike? Gold, EUR/USD, US500 and WTI
The Fed decides tonight with a hold priced near 93%, the ECB and Bank of Japan follow within 36 hours, and this preview sets the levels for gold, EUR/USD, US500 and WTI.
Tesla, Meta and Netflix Test a Shaken US500
US500 enters the first full week of the Q3 reporting season at 7,706 after its worst week since June and a chip-led Monday rebound, with 84% of early reporters beating and profit growth near 30%. This outlook sets out the Netflix, Meta and Tesla numbers the market is pricing, the flash PMIs and the Fed blackout, how to read the weekly and one-hour direction of US500, EUR/USD, gold and WTI, and the levels to watch.
US CPI Preview | EUR USD Gold US500 and WTI Outlook
September US CPI lands on Wednesday 14 October at 8:30pm GMT+8 with the 10-year yield near a 24-year high, EUR/USD at a 17-month low, gold rebounding from 4,066 and Brent above $100. This preview sets out the consensus, the hot, in-line and soft scenarios for the October Fed meeting, how to read the direction each market is already in, and the levels to watch on EUR/USD, gold, US500 and WTI before CPI, PPI, retail sales and the first bank earnings.
Weekly Analysis | Nonfarm Payrolls Sep 2026 Week
EUR/USD fell to 1.1310, its lowest since May 2025, and gold\'s softer-PCE bounce was sold as US 10-year yields closed at a record 5.29% despite softer inflation, while WTI gave back its Hormuz spike and US500 holds a 7,655 to 7,745 range. ISM tonight and the nonfarm payrolls September 2026 report on Friday now decide the week for all four.
Treasury Yields Today Surge to Multi Decade Highs
Treasury yields today pushed the US 10 year above 5.2% and the 30 year to its highest since 2004, Trump rejected Iran\'s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and the RBA\'s fourth rate hike failed to lift the Australian Dollar off nine week lows.
trump-xi-summit-and-market-impact-on-gold-forex-and-oil
Xi Jinping arrived in Washington for a summit with Donald Trump as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed an extended US and China trade truce through January 10, while Iran\'s president used his UN address to hold firm on the Strait of Hormuz and stronger US data revived bets on another Fed rate hike.
Geopolitical Events and Market Impact
Ukraine\'s largest drone strike of the war hit a Moscow oil refinery, the US and Denmark signed off on a new Greenland security deal, and Iran\'s president arrived in New York for UN talks, as traders weigh what these geopolitical events could mean for gold, forex, oil and indices today.
Weekly Analysis: Fed, BoE, BoJ, Sep 14 to 18
Gold slipped and EUR/USD broke down sharply after last week\'s hot US CPI print, while US500 held well off its August record and GBP/JPY tumbled on rising Bank of Japan rate hike bets.
Weekly Analysis: ECB, US CPI, Sep 7 to 11
Gold bounced to 4,374.14 this week after testing the support level already flagged for the week ahead. EUR/USD and GBP/USD held steady near 1.16306 and 1.35464 while US500 pulled back toward 7,673.51, all four instruments now sitting ahead of Thursday\'s ECB decision and Friday\'s US CPI.
US PMI Recap: How Gold, EUR/USD, US500, WTI Reacted
WTI broke above 88.50 and rallied toward 92 on Iran and Strait of Hormuz supply risk, not the PMI, which barely moved the price